After a 2 goal game in a massive comeback win over the New York Rangers, Jason Spezza may have peaked for the 2011-2012 season. As a huge Spezza fan, it pains me to say this … but there is no better time to trade away Spezza in your Fantasy league than right now.
The Senators, to everyone’s surprise, are on a 5-game winning streak thanks in large part to the play of #19. The man who is vilified so often in the Nation’s Capital for his questionable giveaways in key situations is hotter than any NHLer not named Phil Kessel with 15 points in 11 games. Spezza is known for doing this every year, he will seem completely human for long portions of the season and then suddenly put up points at will. 2 years ago it was his return from injury in the middle of a Senators winning streak where he was one game away from tying Dany Heatley’s 7-game goal streak. Last year it was after the all-star break when a Sens roster had dealt away many of its key pieces (Mike Fisher, Alex Kovalev) and lost others to injury (Gonchar, Alfredsson) only to witness Spezza put the team on his back and score 37 points in the final 30 games.
In fact, since the All-star break last year, only Corey Perry and Daniel Sedin have scored more points than the Mississauga, Ontario native. All this considered, Jason Spezza is as streaky as they come. His days of putting up 90+ points left with the departure of friend and LW triggerman Dany Heatley. As good as he is playing right now, expect Spezza to either go cold, get injured, or his high-flying winger Milan Michalek to go down with an ailment. If any of the above likely scenarios happen, Spezza will land in the 70 to 80 point territory, not the 90-100 that he’s currently on pace for. Not that 75-80 points is bad, it is just that you could land a Claude Giroux or maybe a Sedin for him at this point if you play your cards right.
Yes the Senators PP is #1 in the NHL
Yes Spezza is one of the few NHLers with 90+ point potential
But the law of averages usually catches up with teams. The Senators are expected to finish bottom 5 in the East and will likely be there by the end of a tough scheduled November. The team, and Spezza have some tough months ahead so trade him while he is hot.
Predictions: 75-80 points, 30 PPP, -5 to 0 rating, 5 GWG
Photo Credit: Zimbio